Asian Shares Slump as US Consumer Prices Rise, Japan's Nikkei and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index Lose Value
Key Highlights :
Asian shares slumped on Friday as US consumer prices increased more than expected, bolstering the case for the Federal Reserve to keep rates higher for longer. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.94 per cent on Friday, on course for its biggest one-day percentage drop in a week, having scaled a three-week high on Thursday. China's blue-chip stock index CSI300 fell 0.80 per cent, while the Hang Seng Index sank 1.5 per cent in early morning trade. In contrast, Japan's Nikkei was 0.13 per cent lower, while Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index lost 0.25 per cent.
The increase in US consumer prices for September contained a surprise surge in rental costs and traders now see a stronger chance the Fed will end up delivering another hike this year. Futures contracts that settle to the Fed policy rate reflect about a 40 per cent probability of a rate hike in December, compared with about a 28 per cent chance seen before the inflation report. Ryan Brandham, head of global capital markets, North America at Validus Risk Management, said the CPI data highlights the challenges the Fed will face bringing inflation down to its 2.0 per cent target.
Separate data also showed the number of Americans receiving benefits after an initial week of aid, a proxy for hiring, increased 30,000 to a still-low 1.702 million during the week ended September 30. "The labour market softening is key to the Fed achieving its goal of returning inflation to target, and the hawks calling for at least another hike will be supported based on these numbers," Brandham said.
The inflation report along with poor demand for an auction of US 30-year bonds sent Treasury yields higher on Thursday. In Asian hours on Friday, the yield on 10-year Treasury notes eased 3.7 basis points to 4.674 per cent but remained far off the two week low of 4.5300 per cent it touched a day earlier.
Recent gains in stocks and a slide in Treasury yields had followed comments from Federal Reserve officials suggesting that US interest rates - which tend to drive global borrowing costs - may have finally peaked. "Much of the 'good' work done in the past week in the form of bull flattening of the US yield curve has been undone by the latest US CPI report," said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at National Australia Bank.
The week's sharp escalation of Middle East tensions has also ensured the mood remains cautious across markets. Investors will next focus on remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell who is due to speak on October19, just before the US central bank's blackout period begins ahead of its next interest-rate decision. The Fed next meets October 31-November 1.
The risk-off mood also prevailed in the currency market, with the dollar holding on to overnight gains. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar was at 106.47, having gained 0.8 per cent overnight. The euro was up 0.13 per cent to $US1.054 ($A1.668), while sterling was at $US1.2193 ($A1.9298), up 0.16 per cent on the day. The dollar's ascent has again put the Japanese yen under pressure, with the yen at 149.82 per dollar.
Gold prices edged up on Friday but remained below two-week highs hit in the previous session. Spot gold added 0.2 per cent to $US1,872.17 ($A2,963.13) an ounce. Oil prices rose on Friday after the US tightened its sanctions program against Russian crude exports, raising supply concerns in an already tight market. US crude rose 0.63 per cent to $US83.43 ($A132.05) per barrel and Brent was at $US86.33 ($A136.64), up 0.38 per cent on the day.
Overall, Asian shares were down on Friday as US consumer prices increased more than expected, while Japan's Nikkei and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index lost value. The US Federal Reserve's potential rate hike and Middle East tensions also contributed to the risk-off sentiment across markets. Investors will next focus on remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell who is due to speak on October 19.
